Friday, November 11, 2011

Ohio State vs. Purdue — Week 11 (Game 10) Outlook, History Lesson, and Prediction



OSU/Purdue—A Few Opening Thoughts...

Ohio State visits Purdue this Saturday for the first time since the then-seventh-ranked Buckeyes left West Lafayette, a 26-18 loser in 2009.


2010 Flashback: Dan "Boom" Herron stretches for the goaline vs. Purdue.

In the last five meetings, the Buckeyes are just 2-3 against Purdue -- a recent trend they most certainly want to reverse this weekend -- especially if they hope to preserve their chances of playing for the 2011 Big Ten crown in December.


Team Rankings / Players of Note

Purdue

The Purdue offense ranks 83rd nationally at 367 yards per game. They are 74th in total defense (43rd vs. the pass, 92nd vs. the run), allowing an average of 400 yards per game, and rank 58th in points allowed per game (26.4).

Quarterback Caleb TerBush has thrown for 1,386, with 10 touchdowns and six interceptions. His passer efficiency rating is 130. He also has 183 yards rushing and one touchdown.

At running back, Ralph Bolden leads the team with 469 yards and three touchdowns, followed closely by Akeem Shavers, who has gained 338 yards on the ground and scored five times.

The Boilermakers have a trio of wide receivers with over 25 receptions and 300-plus yards. Antavian Edision has 26 catches for 367 yards and two touchdowns -- Justin Siller has 34 catches for 342 yards and one touchdown -- and O.J. Ross has 29 catches for 326 yards and three touchdowns.


Ohio State

Ohio State is 106th in total offense (319 yards per game) nationally. They are 16th in total defense (29th vs. the pass, 27th vs. the run), allowing an average of 312 yards per game, and rank 14th in points allowed per game (18.1).

The Silver Bullets have 21 sacks and 10 interceptions through nine games.

On the season, QB Braxton Miller has 547 passing yards with six touchdowns and three interceptions. He also has 447 yards on the ground and four rushing touchdowns. His current passer efficiency rating is 132.

Jordan Hall may play this week after missing the Indiana game. In his absence, team rushing leader Carlos Hyde broke the 100-yard barrier and now has 513 yards and six touchdowns. Dan Herron also broke the 100-yard barrier (as did Braxton Miller) and now has 415 yards and two scores.

Devin Smith leads the team in yardage with 227 yards on 10 catches, including four for scores. TE Jake Stoneburner is second on the team with 150 yards, and still leads in receptions and touchdowns, with 12 and six respectively. Neither had a reception against Indiana, but the fact that the Buckeyes had well over 300 yards rushing in the game is directly attributable to that.


Ohio State—Purdue History Lesson And Trends

• Ohio State is 38-13-2 all-time vs. Purdue.

• Ohio State is 18-1 in all November games since 2005.

• Ohio State is 108-54-8 all-time in November road games.

• Ohio State is 12-7 all-time vs. Purdue in West Lafayette.

• Ohio State is 9-0 on the road in November games since 2005.

• Ohio State is 2-3 vs. Purdue in the last five games at West Lafayette.

• Ohio State is now 4-2 with Braxton Miller as their starting quarterback.

• Ohio State is 21-1 when running back Dan Herron rushes for at least 55 yards.

• Ohio State has won 13 of their last 16 games against Purdue, dating back to 1989.

• Ohio State's defense has allowed just nine 100-yard rushers in their last 59 games.

• In the last 10 meetings between Ohio State and Purdue, the visiting team is just 2-8.

• Ohio State has held 67 opponents to 21 points or less since the start of the 2005 season.

• Ohio State's defense has held their opponent to fewer than 10 points 31 times since 2006.

• Ohio State has lost just two games in the month of November since their last loss to Michigan on November 22nd, 2003 (@ Purdue 2004, vs. Illinois 2007).

• Purdue is 11-4 all-time on games played on November 11th.

• Purdue is 1-1 against Ohio State under head coach Danny Hope.

• Purdue has outgained Ohio State in seven of the last 10 meetings.

• Purdue has won three of the last five meetings at home against Ohio State.

• Purdue is third nationally and first in the Big Ten in kickoff return average (27.3).

• Purdue has not had a 100-yard rusher since 9/03/11 (Ralph Bolden) vs. Middle Tennessee State.

• Purdue's defense surrendered 605 total yards to Wisconsin last week (11/05/11), including 223 yards on the ground and three touchdowns to RB Montee Ball.


Final Thoughts and Score Prediction

It would seem obvious to me that another big week for the Buckeye running game in on tap.

Nothing personal against Jordan Hall, but I kind of hope he misses again this week so we can all see more of Carlos Hyde. I love this kid -- he's the next Beanie Wells!


Carlos Hyde has a mean stiffarm and he just looks the part of a brusing-Buckeye-back, don't you think?

The defense must play better -- Purdue is most definitely better than Indiana -- but Ohio State has plenty of motivation in this game.

What, with revenge for the 2009 loss in Ross-Ade Stadium, not to mention, a shot at the 2011 title game and a potential Rose Bowl berth hanging in the balance.

Something tells me it could be close into the third quarter, but the Bucks will get separation in the end, and a win for the good guys should be in order this time in West Lafayette.


Ohio State 41
Purdue 20



"To be a champion, you have to believe in yourself when no one else will" - Sugar Ray Robinson




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3 comments:

  1. So much for controlling your own destiny. Enjoy the Little Caesars Bowl!

    ReplyDelete
  2. This past weekend was upsetting at best. This Bucks team comes off the best win of the year against the Badgers, plays mediocre against Indiana and is manhandled by the boilermakers. A team, which was run over by Wisconsin the week before. The emotional roller-coaster ride must come at the expense of our offensive master mind, Jim Bollman. He makes it so simple for our opposing defenses and after every loss this season, the opposition say the same thing. We dare them to run. There's absolutely no short passing game to offset the attack, which is needed to keep the defense on their heels. No bubble screens to quick receivers, dump off passes to backs or tight ends. Oh, I take that back, ONE, which went for a touchdown. If that's not a wake up call Bollman. No quick slants, no misdirection, no roll outs with crossing receivers. Plain and simple, no simple passing game, which puts more pressure on our young Q.B. We run on first, second and pass long on third, when the defense knows we have too pass. It's freaking absurb to know that Bollman is paid to run an offense that most couch coaches could stop. It's so frustrating to see this week in and week out, with no changes being made. I love Fickell, but to allow Bollman to remain in control of the offense is Fickells fault as well. The decisions rest on the head coach and to watch this offense perform with it's predictable play-calling and not making changes is unacceptable. The formations give our plays away, because nothing is done differntly out of them to make the defense guess. The last offensive possession in regulation, we ran misdirection and found some success. So why not do it all game and only when our backs are against the wall and added pressure is put on Braxton, which handled it well wih the T.D. pass on 4th down. But it's unfair for all this talent to be waisted on the field, week in and week out. Jordon hall, could be lining up in the slot, in bubble screen and killing defenses with his talent, but nothing of the sort ever occurs. The Block O nation must see the opposing offenses run the proper offense to appreciatye that part of the game to the expense of our defense. It's sickening that Bollman still has a position, he simply can't get it done. He MUST GO!

    ReplyDelete

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