Sunday, November 7, 2010

BCS Deja Vu: 2010 is Starting to Look a lot Like 2007



It may not be the Buckeyes that reap the benefits of all these supposed (fraudulent) top 10 teams losing, but another Big 10 team, Wisconsin is potentially in line for a national title shot if a few more stars align just right.

That being said, if Wisconsin stumbles in their last three games, then maybe 2007 really does replay itself this season and finds the Buckeyes playing for the title unexpectedly. It COULD happen, however unlikely it may seem.

By the end of the season, some combination of Oregon, Boise State, Auburn and TCU should be No. 1 and No. 2 respectively based on SOS in combination with the human polls.

Assuming that holds true and after watching several teams drop in week 10, here is an updated list of the things that could and would have to happen that could ultimately allow Ohio State to play in the 2010-2011 BCS title game.




1. A loss by Auburn to either Georgia, Alabama, or the South Carolina/Florida winner in the SEC Championship game, or, a loss by TCU to San Diego State or New Mexico.

2. A loss by Oregon to either Cal, Arizona, or Oregon State.

3. A loss or even an ugly win or two by Boise State against Idaho, Fresno State, Nevada, or Utah State. However, the SOS factor itself may take BSU out of the picture even if they win them all big.

4. A loss by Nebraska to either Kansas, Texas A&M, Colorado, or in the Big 12 Championship game.

5. A loss by Wisconsin to either Indiana, Michigan, or Northwestern.

6. A loss by LSU to LA-Monroe, Mississippi, or Arkansas.

7. A loss by Stanford to either Arizona State, Cal, or Oregon State.

8. Lastly, three wins by the Buckeyes to finish the season over Penn State, Iowa, and Michigan.




Since a team doesn't have to be No. 1 to play in the BCS title game, not every scenario above HAS to happen, but most of them [probably at least six of the eight listed, with number eight being the most important] do.

The least likely of them to happen is TCU losing, but that's OK.

vs.
???


Ohio State vs. TCU for the title would be a huge draw as Buckeye fans would all assume the title would be a lock, while the haters would tune in hoping to see the Buckeyes get embarrassed on the national stage to a non-AQ team.

It's a dream come true for the BCS and a win-win for everyone, so to all the teams ahead of Ohio State who are not TCU, do your part and lose over the next three to four weeks.

That is all.


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